MQ 3357 · ORD → SYR

took off 2:10 PM CT · expected to land 4:31 PM ET (scheduled 1:22 PM CT → 4:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SYR?

LIVE

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into SYR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SYR (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3357 · ORD → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?