MQ 3364 · ORD → DTW

departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 12:51 PM ET

Your aircraft is N203NN (E170), coming in as MQ 4088 from XNA: landed 9:13 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3364 · ORD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?