MQ 3376 · PHX → DEN

took off 1:32 PM MT · expected to land 3:01 PM MT (scheduled 1:15 PM MT → 3:00 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 43 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts41 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3376 · PHX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?