MQ 3387 · DFW → LBB

took off 2:01 PM CT · expected to land 2:47 PM CT (scheduled 1:44 PM CT → 3:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LBB?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LBB that day

↓ Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

LBB (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3387 · DFW → LBB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LBB?