MQ 3388 · DFW → AMA

took off 11:47 AM CT · expected to land 12:35 PM CT (scheduled 11:02 AM CT → 12:21 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AMA?

LIVE

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
52%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 42 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AMA that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.15 in

AMA (destination) Gusts42 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3388 · DFW → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?