MQ 3404 · BMI → DFW

departs 3:57 PM CT · arrives 6:01 PM CT

Your aircraft is N206NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3404 from DFW: in the air, landing about 3:04 PM CT, 48 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +46 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BMI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BMI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3404 · BMI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?