MQ 3404 · DFW → BMI

took off 1:37 PM CT · expected to land 3:10 PM CT (scheduled 1:30 PM CT → 3:36 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BMI more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BMI?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ BMI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

BMI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3404 · DFW → BMI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BMI?