MQ 3408 · LIT → DFW

departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 8:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LIT that day

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3408 · LIT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?