MQ 3439 · DFW → RAP

departs 7:58 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 56 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at RAP that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

RAP (destination) Gusts56 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3439 · DFW → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?