MQ 3453 · XNA → ORD

departs 10:38 AM CT · arrives 12:34 PM CT

Your aircraft is N235NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3453 from ORD: landed 9:44 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from XNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3453 · XNA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?