MQ 3466 · CWA → ORD

departs 4:52 PM CT · arrives 6:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CWA that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ CWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CWA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.50 in

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3466 · CWA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?