MQ 3469 · ORD → MLI

departs 11:01 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MLI that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MLI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3469 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?