MQ 3472 · DFW → GSP

departs 3:58 PM CT · arrives 7:21 PM ET

Your aircraft is N205NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3445 from RAP: landed 3:11 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

GSP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3472 · DFW → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?