MQ 3490 · GRR → ORD

departs 4:12 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM CT

Your aircraft is N787BP (E170), coming in as MQ 3490 from ORD: in the air, landing about 3:49 PM ET, 19 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +62 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
1%
15–30 min late
80%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3490 · GRR → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?