MQ 3494 · HOU → DFW

departs 5:02 PM CT · arrives 6:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
45%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.07 in

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3494 · HOU → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?