Schedule: FAA flight plans.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3495
SCHEDULED
Monday, November 2 Today
MQ 3495 · CVG → ORD
departs 11:44 AM ET · arrives 12:07 PM CT
Your aircraft is N321JS (E170), coming in as MQ 3757 from MIA: in the air, landing about 12:12 PM ET, 35 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
99%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
99%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
58%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.4d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 32%.
+7 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 34%.
+11 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 10%.
+3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.