MQ 3522 · TUL → DFW

departs 7:53 PM CT · arrives 9:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.63 in

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3522 · TUL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?