MQ 3547 · STL → ORD

departs 8:13 PM CT · arrives 9:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from STL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3547 · STL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?