MQ 3585 · ORD → EYW

left the gate 12:09 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 12:08 PM CT → 4:30 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N769KW (E170), coming in as MQ 4067 from GRB: landed 10:50 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at EYW that day

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EYW (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3585 · ORD → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?