MQ 3634 · LSE → ORD

departs 12:23 PM CT · arrives 1:40 PM CT

Your aircraft is N740MR (E170), coming in as MQ 3634 from ORD: landed 11:23 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LSE that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ LSE usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LSE (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3634 · LSE → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?