MQ 3635 · ORD → LSE

departs 4:51 PM CT · arrives 6:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LSE?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LSE that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ LSE usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LSE (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3635 · ORD → LSE

Odds over time

How late will it get to LSE?