MQ 3667 · ORD → MLI

took off 9:53 AM CT · landed 10:24 AM CT (scheduled 9:54 AM CT → 11:02 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MLI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at MLI that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into MLI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MLI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3667 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MLI?