MQ 3712 · DFW → CRP

departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at CRP that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

CRP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3712 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?