MQ 3731 · GSP → ORD

departs 4:36 PM ET · arrives 5:42 PM CT

Your aircraft is N235NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3731 from ORD: in the air, landing about 3:44 PM ET, 47 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GSP (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3731 · GSP → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?