MQ 3773 · DFW → MZT

departs 11:07 AM CT · arrives 12:35 PM MST

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MZT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MZT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MZT

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

MZT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3773 · DFW → MZT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MZT?