MQ 3782 · SAV → DFW

took off 1:08 PM ET · expected to land 2:18 PM CT (scheduled 12:58 PM ET → 2:36 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at SAV that day

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3782 · SAV → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?