MQ 3802 · BOS → CVG

departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 8:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3802 · BOS → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?