MQ 3805 · DFW → ZCL

departs 10:26 AM CT · arrives 12:55 PM CST

Your aircraft is N215NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3810 from MTY: landed 9:42 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ZCL more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ZCL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at ZCL that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

ZCL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3805 · DFW → ZCL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ZCL?