MQ 3842 · DFW → TRC

departs 9:48 AM CT · arrives 12:00 PM CST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at TRC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TRC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

TRC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3842 · DFW → TRC

Odds over time

How late will it get to TRC?