MQ 3877 · DFW → AUS

departs 5:11 PM CT · arrives 6:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3877 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?