MQ 3885 · AUS → DFW

departs 2:58 PM CT · arrives 4:09 PM CT

Your aircraft is N265NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3885 from DFW: landed 2:15 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3885 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?