MQ 3902 · DFW → MRY

departs 10:08 AM CT · arrives 12:06 PM PT

Your aircraft is N248NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3692 from CLT: landed 1:25 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MRY?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ MRY is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,267 ft forecast at MRY that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

MRY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,267 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3902 · DFW → MRY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MRY?