MQ 3935 · DFW → GNV

departs 1:17 PM CT · arrives 4:44 PM ET

Your aircraft is N216NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3474 from MTY: landed 12:31 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GNV?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at GNV that day

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ GNV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

GNV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.53 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3935 · DFW → GNV

Odds over time

How late will it get to GNV?