MQ 3942 · OKC → PHX

departs 5:24 PM CT · arrives 6:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.30 in

PHX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3942 · OKC → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?