MQ 3945 · DFW → LAW

departs 4:26 PM CT · arrives 5:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAW more than 15 minutes late?

59% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAW?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LAW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ LAW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

LAW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3945 · DFW → LAW

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAW?