MQ 3946 · DFW → LAW

departs 8:48 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM CT

Your aircraft is N212NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3964 from LCH: landed 7:26 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAW?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAW that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LAW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.15 in

LAW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3946 · DFW → LAW

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAW?