MQ 3965 · DFW → ILM

departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 4:16 PM ET

Your aircraft is N326CJ (E170), coming in as MQ 3896 from OKC: landed 11:51 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ILM

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.15 in

ILM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3965 · DFW → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?