MQ 3984 · RAP → DFW

departs 1:07 PM MT · arrives 4:26 PM CT

Your aircraft is N245NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3984 from DFW: still at DFW, due off about 11:32 AM CT, 42 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 56 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at RAP that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts56 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.94 in

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3984 · RAP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?