MQ 4030 · DFW → MAF

took off 12:36 PM CT · expected to land 1:25 PM CT (scheduled 12:18 PM CT → 1:37 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MAF?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ MAF is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

MAF (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4030 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?