MQ 4032 · PHX → MRY

departs 5:33 PM MT · arrives 6:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MRY?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ MRY is prone to delays

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

MRY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,267 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4032 · PHX → MRY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MRY?