MQ 4104 · MEM → DFW

departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 11:27 AM CT

Your aircraft is N241NN (E170), coming in as MQ 4104 from DFW: in the air, landing about 8:37 AM CT, 52 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MEM that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4104 · MEM → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?