MQ 4137 · AVL → ORD

departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM CT

Your aircraft is N207AN (E170), coming in as MQ 4137 from ORD: in the air, landing about 4:11 PM ET, 32 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4137 · AVL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?