MQ 4185 · ORD → SAW

left the gate 1:50 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 1:42 PM CT → 12:00 AM +03)

Your aircraft is N742GR (E170), coming in as MQ 4132 from HSV: landed 12:16 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAW more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAW?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAW

↓ Arrivals into SAW at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4185 · ORD → SAW

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAW?