MQ 4210 · DFW → SAV

took off 4:03 PM CT · expected to land 6:55 PM ET (scheduled 3:36 PM CT → 7:02 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

LIVE

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into SAV at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.32 in

SAV (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4210 · DFW → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?