OH 5257 · DFW → GNV

departs 7:15 PM CT · arrives 10:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?

59% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GNV?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GNV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

GNV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.53 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5257 · DFW → GNV

Odds over time

How late will it get to GNV?