OH 5290 · PIA → DFW

departs 4:43 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at PIA that day

Weather at each end

PIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5290 · PIA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?