OH 5408 · TYS → ORD

departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 12:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5408 · TYS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?