OH 5421 · DFW → GPT

departs 9:47 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GPT?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at GPT that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

GPT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5421 · DFW → GPT

Odds over time

How late will it get to GPT?