OH 5516 · DFW → AMA

departs 8:37 AM CT · arrives 10:11 AM CT

Your aircraft is N587NN (CRJ9), coming in as JIA5414 from GPT: landed 6:56 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 42 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AMA that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

AMA (destination) Gusts42 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5516 · DFW → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?