OH 5531 · DFW → ROA

departs 6:34 PM CT · arrives 10:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

ROA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5531 · DFW → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?